Question

What will be the outcome of Disney and Universal's copyright lawsuit against Midjourney?

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4 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 4

The case is settled

Other ruling

Disney/Universal win ≥$50m

Disney/Universal win <$50m

Midjourney wins

Make a Prediction

		My Prediction		Me
Disney/Universal win ≥$50m	20.2%

Disney/Universal win <$50m	13.1%

Midjourney wins	10.1%

The case is settled	33.4%

Other ruling	23.2%

Total: ?

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Authors:

skmmcj

Opened:

Jul 18, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2028

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 31, 2028

Law

Artificial Intelligence

Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026?

10%

What will be the outcome of the New York Times' copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?

Before March 1, 2026, will Meta settle the lawsuit brought by state attorneys general alleging the platform(s) were designed to foster compulsive use by minors?

62%

Authors:

skmmcj

Opened:

Jul 18, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2028

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 31, 2028

Law

Artificial Intelligence

Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026?

10%

What will be the outcome of the New York Times' copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?

Before March 1, 2026, will Meta settle the lawsuit brought by state attorneys general alleging the platform(s) were designed to foster compulsive use by minors?

62%