Question

Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?

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50%

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Authors:

skmmcj

Opened:

Jul 2, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 31, 2025

Iran-Israel Conflict

Current Events⚡

Geopolitics

Is Trump ready for the next level of the war between Israel and Iran?

Strategic Culture•Jun 30, 2025

Israel and Iran Have Set the Stage for the Next War

Jacobin•Jun 30, 2025

Israel, US and Iran all claim to have won the war, but who has really gained?

Guardian•Jun 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?

55%

Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?

22%

Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?

95%

Authors:

skmmcj

Opened:

Jul 2, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 31, 2025

Iran-Israel Conflict

Current Events⚡

Geopolitics

Is Trump ready for the next level of the war between Israel and Iran?

Strategic Culture•Jun 30, 2025

Israel and Iran Have Set the Stage for the Next War

Jacobin•Jun 30, 2025

Israel, US and Iran all claim to have won the war, but who has really gained?

Guardian•Jun 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?

55%

Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?

22%

Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?

95%