21 comments
106 forecasters
How many Patriot missile batteries will the U.S. formally agree to send to Ukraine before September 2025?
0result: Yes
17.4%
22.9%
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jun 30, 2025
Closes:Aug 4, 2025
Resolved:Sep 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 3, 2025
Will combat troops from NATO countries be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?
19% chance
123
If a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict goes into effect in 2025, how long will it last?
90 forecasters
Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?
0.1% chance
184