Question

When will a global sensing system be operational that enables real-time, 3D atmospheric tomography at a resolution sufficient to model small-scale convective processes?

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Total Forecasters5

Community Prediction

2033 Year

(2031 Year - 2045 Year)

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PMF

CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2060
community	2031	2033	2045	15.1%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	2031	—
median	2033	—
upper 75%	2045	—
Upper bound
>2060	15.1%	—

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Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jul 9, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2061

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2061

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 14, 2025

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When will 5 gigatons carbon capture in a year at a price of less than $10 per ton be achieved?

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What will be the maximum critical temperature (in Kelvin) for an ambient-pressure superconductor before the given years?

169

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jul 9, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2061

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2061

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 14, 2025

Fundamental Development Gap Map

Environment & Climate

Natural Sciences

In what year will satellite-based monitoring systems first accurately measure global CO2 and CH4 emissions in real-time?

03 Jun 2029

When will 5 gigatons carbon capture in a year at a price of less than $10 per ton be achieved?

2056

What will be the maximum critical temperature (in Kelvin) for an ambient-pressure superconductor before the given years?

169