Question
When will the FDA approve a medical device with software that is wholly AI-generated, with no human involvement?
Total Forecasters5
Community Prediction
2034
(2031 - 2040)
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PMF
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2031 | — |
| median | 2034 | — |
| upper 75% | 2040 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2065 | 19.2% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 9, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2066
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2066
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 14, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Jul 9, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2066
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2066
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 14, 2025