Question
When will a digital model of the C. elegans nervous system reproduce the organism’s full behavioral repertoire with at least 90% accuracy?
Total Forecasters7
Community Prediction
2075 Year
(2049 Year - >2075 Year)
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PMF
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2049 | — |
| median | 2075 | — |
| upper 75% | >2075 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2075 | 49.7% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 9, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2076
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2076
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 14, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Jul 9, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2076
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2076
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 14, 2025