12 forecasters

[Short fuse] Will the Government lose its majority in the 2025 Japanese House of Councillors election?

65%chance

65%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 65% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jul 4, 2025

Closes:

Jul 19, 2025

Resolved:

Jul 22, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 5, 2025

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