Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
7
138
forecasters
5
7 comments
138 forecasters
Metaculus Cup Summer 2025
3 more...
Will Thailand experience a military coup before September 2025?
Follow
share
embed
Resolved
No
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (7)
Timeline
Key Factors (2)
Question Info
Similar Questions
Thailand has experienced eleven coups since 1947
Increases Likelihood
6
0
Border conflict with Cambodia
Increases Likelihood
3
1
0 comments
30 forecasters
Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America by September 1, 2026?
35%
chance
1 comment
58 forecasters
Insurrection Act/martial law be declared for 2026 midterms?
11%
chance
4 comments
32 forecasters
Will France officially announce a 6th Republic before June 2027?
5%
chance
6 comments
34 forecasters
Russia uprising in fall 2026?
10%
chance
83 comments
166 forecasters
Coup d'etat likelihood
Syria
81%
Haiti
74%
Mali
63%
Libya
61%
69 others
29 comments
227 forecasters
Will the Iranian government lose power before 2027?
10%
chance
4 comments
98 forecasters
Philippines VP Sara Duterte removed from office before Sept 2026?
5%
chance
14 comments
849 forecasters
China attacks/blockades Taiwan in 2026?
8%
chance