Question
How many people will participate in US strikes beginning August 2025?
Resolved:6749 participantsTotal Forecasters92
Community Prediction
19.7k participants
(12.1k participants - 28.2k participants)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 12.14k | — |
median | 19.74k | — |
upper 75% | 28.18k | — |
Upper bound | ||
>100k | 2.4% | — |
What was the final result?6749 participants
Community Peer Score
32.8
Community Baseline Score
-2.0
Authors:
Opened:Jul 21, 2025
Closes:Aug 20, 2025
Resolves:Sep 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 28, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Jul 21, 2025
Closes:Aug 20, 2025
Resolves:Sep 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 28, 2025