Question

How many people will participate in US strikes beginning August 2025?

Resolved:6749 participants
Total Forecasters92
Community Prediction
19.7k participants
(12.1k participants - 28.2k participants)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%12.14k
median19.74k
upper 75%28.18k
Upper bound
>100k2.4%

What was the final result?6749 participants

Community Peer Score
32.8
Community Baseline Score
-2.0
Authors:
Opened:Jul 21, 2025
Closes:Aug 20, 2025
Resolves:Sep 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 28, 2025