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10 comments
92 forecasters

How many people will participate in US strikes beginning August 2025?

community
19.7k participants
result
6749 participants
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
ADQ
Opened:Jul 21, 2025
Closes:Aug 20, 2025
Resolved:Sep 2, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 28, 2025
Metaculus Cup Summer 2025
Politics
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How many major US labor strikes with generative AI as one of their main reasons will start in 2029?

5 strikes
(2 - >7)
5 strikes
(2 - >7)
47 forecasters

How many people will work for the US federal government in November 2026?

2689 thousand people
(2586 - 2790)
2689 thousand people
(2586 - 2790)
119 forecasters

How many U.S. metro areas with more than 500k people will have non-routine military or federalized National Guard deployments before Nov 3, 2026?

6 metro areas
(5 - 8)
6 metro areas
(5 - 8)
98 forecasters
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