82 forecasters

When will China legalise same-sex marriage?

Current estimate

Mar 2050

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Authors:

Opened:

Mar 22, 2020

Closes:

Dec 31, 2049

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2099

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 24, 2020

Hong Kong lawmakers vote against expanding same-sex couple rights, in blow to equality

CNN•Sep 15, 2025

Hong Kong rejects bill that would have given limited rights to same-sex couples who married abroad

Independent•Sep 11, 2025

Hong Kong criticised for rejecting bill giving ‘bare minimum’ rights to same-sex couples

Guardian•Sep 11, 2025

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