Question

Will Shigeru Ishiba cease to be Prime Minister of Japan before September 2025?

Resolved:No
3
4
Total Forecasters103
Community Prediction
0.5%
(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score
33.2
Community Baseline Score
79.7
Authors:
ADQ
Opened:Aug 4, 2025
Closes:Sep 1, 2025
Resolves:Sep 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 6, 2025
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