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Authors:
Opened:Jul 23, 2025
Closes:Jul 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jul 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 24, 2025
Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?
1% chance
802
Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?
35% chance
146
Will Rodrigo Duterte be convicted of any crime by the International Criminal Court by 2030?
86% chance
13