Question

Will Thailand and Cambodia announce a bilateral ceasefire, with an intended duration of at least 28 days, before September 2025?

Resolved:Yes

6 comments6

Total Forecasters63

Community Prediction

97%

(95% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 97%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

1.0

Community Baseline Score

3.8

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jul 26, 2025

Closes:

Aug 31, 2025

Resolves:

Sep 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 27, 2025

New Mine Explosion Tests Ceasefire Hailed as Trump Triumph

Newsweek•Aug 27, 2025

Monks thanked Trump for role in peace talks between Cambodia and Thailand. Here's context

Snopes•Aug 21, 2025

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