6 comments
63 forecasters
Will Thailand and Cambodia announce a bilateral ceasefire, with an intended duration of at least 28 days, before September 2025?
97%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 97% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jul 26, 2025
Closes:Aug 31, 2025
Resolved:Jul 29, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 27, 2025
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15% chance
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Will conflict between Thailand and Cambodia result in 500 deaths from March 28 to December 31, 2025?
0.1% chance
81
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