71 forecasters

Will Australia recognize Palestine before 2026?

93%chance

13 pp this week

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

johnnycaffeine lbiii

Opened:

Jul 26, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 27, 2025

Current Events⚡

UK preparing to recognise Palestinian state as early as Friday

Guardian•Sep 18, 2025

Western bids to recognise a Palestinian state put Israel first

Al Jazeera•Sep 18, 2025

UK 'will formally recognise Palestine as a state'... after Trump leaves the country

Daily Mail•Sep 18, 2025

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