Question

Will FEWS NET declare a famine in any part of Gaza before 2026?

Resolved:Annulled

3 comments3

Total Forecasters8

Community Prediction

67%

(66% - 70%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 67%

Did this actually happen?Annulled

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jul 26, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 31, 2025

Famine kills nearly 200 in Gaza amid ‘apocalyptic’ battle for survival

Al Jazeera•Aug 8, 2025

Starvation in Gaza: what we know about 'entirely preventable' crisis

Snopes•Aug 7, 2025

Netanyahu meets with military leaders on details of Israeli conquest and annexation of Gaza

•Aug 6, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Israel lift the blockade to humanitarian aid into Gaza before April 7, 2025?

Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

10%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jul 26, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 31, 2025

Famine kills nearly 200 in Gaza amid ‘apocalyptic’ battle for survival

Al Jazeera•Aug 8, 2025

Starvation in Gaza: what we know about 'entirely preventable' crisis

Snopes•Aug 7, 2025

Netanyahu meets with military leaders on details of Israeli conquest and annexation of Gaza

•Aug 6, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Israel lift the blockade to humanitarian aid into Gaza before April 7, 2025?

Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

10%