Question

Will any opposition legislator in Taiwan lose their recall election on August 23, 2025?

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Total Forecasters7

Community Prediction

20%

(10% - 27%)

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50%

community: 20%

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Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jul 28, 2025

Closes:

Aug 22, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Aug 24, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 22, 2025

Current Events⚡

Elections

Geopolitics

Political Gridlock In Taiwan: Implications Of The Recall Vote On Cross-strait Relations

Forbes•Jul 28, 2025

Taiwanese political gridlock endures as China-friendly party survives recall vote

NPR Online News•Jul 27, 2025

Voters in Taiwan reject bid to oust China-friendly lawmakers in closely watched poll

CNN•Jul 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant?

75%

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

15%

Will the United States recognize Taiwan before January 20, 2029?

14%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jul 28, 2025

Closes:

Aug 22, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Aug 24, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 22, 2025

Current Events⚡

Elections

Geopolitics

Political Gridlock In Taiwan: Implications Of The Recall Vote On Cross-strait Relations

Forbes•Jul 28, 2025

Taiwanese political gridlock endures as China-friendly party survives recall vote

NPR Online News•Jul 27, 2025

Voters in Taiwan reject bid to oust China-friendly lawmakers in closely watched poll

CNN•Jul 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant?

75%

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?

15%

Will the United States recognize Taiwan before January 20, 2029?

14%