Question
Will there be another deadly clash between Thailand and Cambodia, resulting in three or more fatalities, before 2026?
Total Forecasters11
Community Prediction
35%
(20% - 37%)
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 30, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 1, 2026
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will conflict between Thailand and Cambodia result in 500 deaths from March 28 to December 31, 2025?
1%
Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?
33%
Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between India and Pakistan before 2027?
18%
Authors:
Opened:Jul 30, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 1, 2026
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will conflict between Thailand and Cambodia result in 500 deaths from March 28 to December 31, 2025?
1%
Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?
33%
Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between India and Pakistan before 2027?
18%