4 comments
35 forecasters
Will North Korea test another nuclear device before 2026?
5%chance
2  pp this week
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Authors:
Opened:Jul 31, 2025 
Closes:Jan 1, 2026 
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026 
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 5, 2025 
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