Question
When will Pope Leo XIV cease to be pope?
Total Forecasters10
Community Prediction
Jul 2041
(Feb 2038 - Jun 2049)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Feb 2038 | — |
| median | Jul 2041 | — |
| upper 75% | Jun 2049 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2050 | 24.0% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 7, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2049
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 31, 2049
Authors:
Opened:Aug 7, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2049
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 31, 2049
