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55
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55 forecasters
Metaculus Learning Academy
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Will Andrew Cuomo, Eric Adams or Curtis Sliwa announce that they are dropping out of the 2025 NYC mayoral race before October 1, 2025?
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34 forecasters
Will AOC primary Chuck Schumer for U.S. Senate in NY by Jan. 1, 2029?
50%
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2 US governor/Senator candidates not conceding in these elections?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
18%
2027-2028
26%
15 comments
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7%
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SCOTUS Confirmations in 2025-2029?
2
40%
1
38%
3 or more
10%
0
10%
0 comments
94 forecasters
Nominee blocked from US statewide office ballot by opposition in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
5%
2027-2028
10%
7 comments
24 forecasters
Will the next U.S. President have a beard or mustache?
10%
chance
11 comments
240 forecasters
Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?
Gavin Newsom
26.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10.4%
Pete Buttigieg
7.4%
Other
43.5%
4 others
25 comments
103 forecasters
Yang's Forward Party to take off
1%
chance