64 forecasters

Before 2030, will a commercially available, general-purpose robot capable of learning new tasks via video be priced under $20,000 USD?

41%chance

6 pp this week

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 19, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 21, 2025

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The Tool AI Pathway

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