Question

Before July 1, 2026, will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in a case that, if decided on the merits, would hold that the US Constitution does not guarantee the right to same-sex marriage?

Make a Prediction

50%
This question is in the Upcoming stage, and will be open for predictions soon
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Opens:Aug 15, 2025
Closes:Jul 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jul 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 1, 2026