5 comments
39 forecasters
In which year will AI infrastructure account for 10% or more of global electricity consumption?
Not before 203181.2%
2029 or 203015.6%
2027 or 20283.1%
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Aug 19, 2025
Closes:Sep 30, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Nov 1, 2034
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 21, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
What percentage of global electricity consumption will be attributed to data centers in 2029?
6.31%
(3.61 - 9.5)
6.31%
(3.61 - 9.5)
14 forecasters
Five years after AGI, what will be humanity’s energy consumption?
423k TWh
(243k - 983k)
423k TWh
(243k - 983k)
28 forecasters
Will a cyberattack targeting AI systems cause a significant power blackout in the United States before 2028?
9% chance
39