Question
What percentage of Taiwan Semiconductor's employees will be located outside of Taiwan or China at the end of 2029?
Total Forecasters8
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| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <5% | — | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | ... | — |
| median | ... | — |
| upper 75% | ... | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >40% | — | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 19, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Apr 20, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 1, 2030
Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?
67%
Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have at least 20% of the market cap that TSMC has in 2028?
32%
Before July 1, 2027, will TSMC lose large numbers of wafers in a short period of time due to attack or sabotage against one or more of its Taiwan-based "Fab" facilities?
Authors:
Opened:Aug 19, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Apr 20, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 1, 2030
Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?
67%
Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have at least 20% of the market cap that TSMC has in 2028?
32%