Question
Will the community prediction be higher than 98.00% on 2025-08-25 for the Metaculus question 'Will OpenAI surpass 15 million business users before 2030?'?
Resolved:YesTotal Forecasters49
Community Prediction
35%
(22% - 50%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?Yes
Community Spot Score
-1.0
Community Spot Baseline Score
-51.5
Authors:
Opened:Aug 21, 2025
Closes:Aug 21, 2025
Resolves:Aug 25, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 21, 2025
Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted
Include Bots:Yes
Authors:
Opened:Aug 21, 2025
Closes:Aug 21, 2025
Resolves:Aug 25, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 21, 2025
Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted
Include Bots:Yes