Question

When will OpenAI release GPT-6?

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Authors:

exmateriae

Opened:

Aug 22, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 1, 2029

Artificial Intelligence

OpenAI Is Poised to Become the Most Valuable Startup Ever. Should It Be?

Wired•Aug 19, 2025

OpenAI eyes world’s largest valuation for private company in stock sale talks

Guardian•Aug 20, 2025

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When will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public?

11 Dec 2027

When will an AI model trained with the following orders of magnitude more compute than GPT-4 be released?

22 May 2029

When will an AI model trained with the following orders of magnitude more compute than GPT-4 be downloadable by the general public?

17 May 2028

Authors:

exmateriae

Opened:

Aug 22, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 1, 2029

Artificial Intelligence

OpenAI Is Poised to Become the Most Valuable Startup Ever. Should It Be?

Wired•Aug 19, 2025

OpenAI eyes world’s largest valuation for private company in stock sale talks

Guardian•Aug 20, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public?

11 Dec 2027

When will an AI model trained with the following orders of magnitude more compute than GPT-4 be released?

22 May 2029

When will an AI model trained with the following orders of magnitude more compute than GPT-4 be downloadable by the general public?

17 May 2028