89 forecasters

How many of the top 50 Effective Altruism Forum users by karma as of June 2021 will be active in 2026?

Latest estimate

33.5 users

Authors:

Opened:

Nov 17, 2025

Closed:

Nov 17, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 17, 2025

Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted

Include Bots:Yes