98 forecasters

Will the FDA approve a seasonal influenza vaccine for the 2025-2026 flu season before October 1, 2025?

93.5%chance

This question is closed for predictions.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 15, 2025

Closed:

Sep 15, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Oct 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 15, 2025

Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted

Include Bots:Yes