106 forecasters

Will the US place restrictions on the total compute capacity individuals or companies are allowed to have before 2026?

10%chance

This question is closed for predictions.

Authors:

Opened:

Nov 1, 2025

Closed:

Nov 1, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 1, 2025

Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted

Include Bots:Yes

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch