100 forecasters

How many successful orbital rocket launches will there be in the following years? (2025)

Latest estimate

289 launches

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 20, 2025

Closed:

Oct 20, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 20, 2025

Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted

Question Weight:69%

Include Bots:Yes