88 forecasters

Will Andrew Cuomo, Eric Adams or Curtis Sliwa announce that they are dropping out of the 2025 NYC mayoral race before October 1, 2025?

20%chance

This question is closed for predictions.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

AutoQuestionsBot

Opened:

Sep 7, 2025

Closed:

Sep 7, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Oct 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 7, 2025

Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted

Include Bots:Yes

Fall 2025 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Curtis Sliwa wears a red beret everywhere and once had 17 cats. Now he’s the wildcard of the NYC mayoral race

CNN•Sep 14, 2025

New polls reveal Mamdani has commanding lead over rivals weeks from Election Day

FOX News•Sep 12, 2025

NYC Mayor Eric Adams isn’t ending his reelection bid, but he’s bracing for a likely loss, sources tell CNN

CNN•Sep 12, 2025

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