107 forecasters

Will an H5 virus receive an "emergence" risk rating categorized as "high" by the US CDC Influenza Risk Assessment Tool before January 1, 2026?

10%chance

This question is closed for predictions.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 12, 2025

Closed:

Oct 13, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 13, 2025

Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted

Include Bots:Yes

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