38 comments
37 forecasters
Will OpenAI release an open-source model that ranks in the top 35 of the Chatbot Arena leaderboard before October 2025?
28%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 28% chance, and it resolved No.
Authors:
Opened:Sep 6, 2025
Closes:Sep 6, 2025
Resolved:Oct 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 6, 2025
Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted
Include Bots:Yes
