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Will OpenAI release an open-source model that ranks in the top 35 of the Chatbot Arena leaderboard before October 2025?
28%chance
This question is closed for predictions.
Forecast Timeline
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Opened:Sep 6, 2025
Closed:Sep 6, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Oct 15, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 6, 2025
Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted
Include Bots:Yes