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106 forecasters
If Trump is elected president in 2024, will AI foundation model reporting requirements remain in place in the US at the end of 2025?
15%chance
This question is closed for predictions.
Authors:
Opened:Nov 1, 2025
Closed:Nov 1, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 1, 2025
Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted
Include Bots:Yes
If Trump is elected president in 2024, will AI foundation model reporting requirements remain in place in the US at the end of 2025?
5% chance
43
Will a federal law, regulation, or executive order mandating safety checks for AI models be enacted, issued, or adopted in the United States before January 20, 2029?
25% chance
108
Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?
1% chance
126