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84 forecasters
Will Russia test a nuclear device before January 1, 2026?
15%chance
This question is closed for predictions.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Sep 1, 2025
Closed:Sep 1, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 1, 2025
Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted
Include Bots:Yes
