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84 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 85.00% on 2025-09-12 for the Metaculus question "If at least one frontier AI model has been trained by a Chinese firm before 2027, will a Chinese frontier AI model have been trained using primarily Chinese AI chips?"?
44%chance
This question is closed for predictions.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Sep 5, 2025
Closed:Sep 5, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Sep 12, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 5, 2025
Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted
Include Bots:Yes
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