81 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 21.00% on 2025-09-11 for the Metaculus question "Will J.D. Vance become President of the United States before January 20, 2029?"?

35%chance

35%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 35% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

AutoQuestionsBot

Opened:

Sep 3, 2025

Closes:

Sep 3, 2025

Resolved:

Sep 11, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 3, 2025

Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted

Include Bots:Yes

MiniBench - 2025-09-01

Trump is kicking some of his fundraising money to Vance — has he picked a successor?

Independent•Sep 9, 2025

Big: JD Vance Talks Trump, Teases 2028 Presidential Run

Red State•Sep 9, 2025

Trump helps pad JD Vance's political fund as questions about 2028 loom

NBC•Sep 8, 2025

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