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8 forecasters
Will China and India ratify a bilateral treaty addressing territorial boundaries between the two nations before 2029?
61%chance
The community sees this as a toss-up.
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 4, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2028
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2029
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 8, 2025
Will China and India ratify a bilateral border treaty before the end of 2025?
5% chance
41
Will China settle its South China Sea maritime boundary dispute with any other state by 2030?
27% chance
5
Will at least two of the United States, Russia or China mutually agree to decrease their nuclear stockpiles before 2026?
0.7% chance
57