76 forecasters

Will Nicholas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela before January 1, 2026?

9%chance

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Authors:

Opened:

Sep 7, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 11, 2025

Metaculus Learning Academy

Venezuela In The Trump Administration’s Crosshairs: Will War Follow?

Daily Caller•Oct 25, 2025

Maduro Hits Back at Trump: ‘Inventing New Eternal War’

Newsweek•Oct 25, 2025

Why is Trump, the self-proclaimed ‘president of peace’, aiming to topple the Venezuelan regime?

Guardian•Oct 25, 2025

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