63 forecasters

Who will be elected governor of New Jersey in 2025?

The Democratic Party candidate (Mikie Sherrill)63.9%

The Republican Party candidate (Jack Ciattarelli)35%

Other1%

Forecast Timeline

The Democratic Party candidate (Mikie Sherrill)

The Republican Party candidate (Jack Ciattarelli)

Other

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Sep 8, 2025

Closes:

Nov 4, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Nov 5, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 12, 2025

Include Bots:Yes

Metaculus Learning Academy

Elections

🏆 2025 Leaderboard

Democrat Mikie Sherrill has slight lead in race for New Jersey governor, poll says

USA Today•Oct 30, 2025

Mikie Sherrill’s Chances of Winning a Landslide in New Jersey Election

Newsweek•Oct 30, 2025

Ciattarelli, Sherrill in dead heat for NJ governor in final days of campaign: poll

New York Post•Oct 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Which of the 2025 Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial elections will the Democrats win?

Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

10.3%

5 others

171 forecasters

Who will be the 2028 Republican nominee for President of the United States?

187 forecasters