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16 forecasters

1

16 forecasters

Where will ManticAI place in the Metaculus Cup Fall 2025 leaderboard?

community

6.28

result

4

Resolved4

Forecast Timeline

Forecast Timeline

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20 comments723 forecasters

Top bot vs top 5 humans in ACX 2026?

Current estimate

11 comments170 forecasters

AI system beat human pros in forecasting tournament by 2030?

26 comments739 forecasters

Top ARC-AGI-2 score in 2026?

Current estimate

15 comments81 forecasters

2027 AI Bet winner between Gary Marcus and Miles Brundage?

Miles Brundage12%

8 comments57 forecasters

Highest score among a selected subset of VideoGameBench on Jan 1, 2028?

Current estimate

2 comments5 forecasters

2026 Peer Accuracy leaderboard top 10 mean?

Current estimate

0 comments64 forecasters

When will an AI achieve an score of 1.5 or higher in the RE-bench at any time budget between 8h and 32h?

Current estimate

8 comments96 forecasters

What % will consider AI/computers/tech to be most important problem in Jan '28?

Current estimate

10.7 % mentioning