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90
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90 forecasters
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
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Will the Department of Justice indict a high-profile individual from the opposing party to the U.S. president in the following years?
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2 comments
103 forecasters
Will DOJ leaders deviate to prosecute a presidential opponent in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
60%
2027-2028
75%
2 comments
110 forecasters
DOJ not act on a criminal contempt of an official served under the president?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
Yes
2025-2026
45%
2027-2028
57%
6 comments
110 forecasters
Will DOJ leaders deviate to protect the President or his allies in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
59%
2027-2028
64%
2 comments
110 forecasters
DOJ files charges against journalist under Espionage Act in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
21%
2027-2028
30%
0 comments
92 forecasters
Will a US federal judge be impeached in a partisan vote in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
10%
2027-2028
18%
4 comments
103 forecasters
White House directs agencies to target ≥3 presidential critics in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
result:
Yes
2027-2028
90%
2 comments
97 forecasters
US executive in contempt for not obeying a court ruling in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
result:
Yes
2027-2028
68%
4 comments
106 forecasters
Will the US executive order non-enforcement of court orders in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
40%
2027-2028
51%