7 forecasters

Will Israel Take Control of Gaza City before Jan 20, 2029?

Current estimate

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Authors:

Opened:

Oct 1, 2025

Closes:

Jan 21, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 21, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 5, 2025

Economy & Business

Israel escalates siege of Gaza City as Hamas reviews proposal to end war

PBS NewsHour•Oct 2, 2025

Israel gives Palestinians ‘last opportunity’ to flee Gaza City as full-scale invasion looms

New York Post•Oct 2, 2025

Hamas Unlikely to Comply Fully With Trump's Peace Deal

Red State•Oct 1, 2025

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