55 forecasters

Will a suspected shooter in the assassination of political activist Charlie Kirk be neutralized before September 19, 2025?

99.9%chance

99.9%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 100% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 11, 2025

Closes:

Sep 19, 2025

Resolved:

Sep 13, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 12, 2025

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A timeline of Charlie Kirk’s assassination and the arrest of a suspect

Associated Press•Sep 13, 2025

Charlie Kirk's Suspected Assassin Arrested, Identified as 22-Year-Old Utah Resident Tyler Robinson

Washington Free Beacon•Sep 12, 2025

The Latest: A 22-year-old Utah man is in custody in Charlie Kirk shooting, AP source says

Independent•Sep 12, 2025

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