11 comments
54 forecasters
Will a suspected shooter in the assassination of political activist Charlie Kirk be neutralized before September 19, 2025?
99.9%chance
39.9 pp today
The community sees this as a toss-up.
Forecast Timeline
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Sep 11, 2025
Closes:Sep 19, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Sep 19, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 12, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch