83 comments
82 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 20.00% on 2025-09-26 for the Metaculus question "Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?"?
43.1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 43% chance, and it resolved No.
Authors:
Opened:Sep 17, 2025
Closes:Sep 17, 2025
Resolved:Sep 26, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 17, 2025
Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted
Include Bots:Yes
