84 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 9.10% on 2025-09-27 for the Metaculus question "Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?"?

35%chance

This question is closed for predictions.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 15, 2025

Closed:

Sep 16, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Sep 27, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 16, 2025

Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted

Include Bots:Yes