18 comments
77 forecasters
Will we confirm evidence for megastructures orbiting the star KIC 8462852?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 26, 2015
Closes:Feb 1, 2016
Resolved:Mar 1, 2016
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 28, 2015
Will the eventual consensus explanation of star KIC 8462852 variability be an intervening molecular cloud?
38% chance
38
Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?
0.1% chance
79
By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?
1% chance
47